This is just a preliminary draft on discussing some of the current crisis between the Islamic Republic and the United States. This is a work in progress and it is not a completed essay. The purpose of this write-up is to initiate a healthy discussion among our friends and colleagues trying to learn and educate each other about the unfolding events.
As the hostilities are escalating between the Islamic Republic and the United States people are wondering how to react or adjust to the new circumstances. This is mostly visible within the Iranian community. Everybody is trying to find out who is supporting which side and the rationale behind it. People are wondering what would be the right course of action. On a situation like this what one must do and how to react to the current relationship between the two sides?
I personally believe nobody in the world likes war. Even the military personnel who have committed their lives for this purpose do not like war. So wee must understand how a war gets started or how two nations or the public officials of two countries reach that state of hostilities and then decide that it is time go wage a war with a perceive enemy.
So how did we end up in this situation? Within the 27 years history of Islamic Republic, we have already had one devastating war which lasted for 8 years with Iraq and we are about to face with the second one now. So on average IR has spent about 30% of its time in the war and now they are going to start another one. The entire 27 years life history of IR has been spent on Cold War with United States and Israel. In addition to that for the past 27 years there has been a slow motion of Civil War in Iran. So there is some thing wrong with this picture.
The question is if the Iranian opposition was in a better position and was able to be a formidable force in the Iranian political landscape could this situation been prevented? Unfortunately the Iranian political opposition has been weak and very ineffective in its mission. (Mr. Jahangir Arshid will present this next week to us. This is a very important presentation.)
Some people try to present this situation in order to see who is in which side and then turn around and question your patriotism if they find you in the opposite side. This war should not be used in order to take sides. This is not a test of loyalty. In order for United States to attack Iran, it does not need our permission to do so. It is the only Superpower in the world and has all the means to conduct a full scale war against any country, if it is deemed to be a legitimate war and is considered a thread to the National Interest. So we need to understand what preventive actions we could have taken in order to not let things to get to this point.
If we would have projected the trajectory of Islamic Republic on the day it was born, we would have realized that at some point this situation would have surfaced in the trajectory path that Islamic Republic has taken. This was inevitable. It was a war in its making. We should have known that this was coming. It was only matter of time.
During the Cold War, since there were two Superpowers in the world, so any time one country was threatened, it would try to form an alliance with one of the Superpowers and try to hide behind it in order to stay safe. However that is no longer the case. Now the global bipolar politics is replaced by the unipolar international politics, so there is no place to hide any more, but to face the consequences of the war. The Globalization would not tolerate any obstacles on its path.
Through out history usually the root causes of the wars for the most part have been based on the control and domination over the available resources. Each country would try to gain control or maintain its domination on the limited resources. Some of the reasons for war have been territorial claims or border dispute or control over the natural resources such as water, irrigation or access to the mining of natural products.
The argument used by the proponents of the war usually has been to protect the National Interest of that country. I provide the definition and a brief description of National Interest here.
As the hostilities are escalating between the Islamic Republic and the United States people are wondering how to react or adjust to the new circumstances. This is mostly visible within the Iranian community. Everybody is trying to find out who is supporting which side and the rationale behind it. People are wondering what would be the right course of action. On a situation like this what one must do and how to react to the current relationship between the two sides?
I personally believe nobody in the world likes war. Even the military personnel who have committed their lives for this purpose do not like war. So wee must understand how a war gets started or how two nations or the public officials of two countries reach that state of hostilities and then decide that it is time go wage a war with a perceive enemy.
So how did we end up in this situation? Within the 27 years history of Islamic Republic, we have already had one devastating war which lasted for 8 years with Iraq and we are about to face with the second one now. So on average IR has spent about 30% of its time in the war and now they are going to start another one. The entire 27 years life history of IR has been spent on Cold War with United States and Israel. In addition to that for the past 27 years there has been a slow motion of Civil War in Iran. So there is some thing wrong with this picture.
The question is if the Iranian opposition was in a better position and was able to be a formidable force in the Iranian political landscape could this situation been prevented? Unfortunately the Iranian political opposition has been weak and very ineffective in its mission. (Mr. Jahangir Arshid will present this next week to us. This is a very important presentation.)
Some people try to present this situation in order to see who is in which side and then turn around and question your patriotism if they find you in the opposite side. This war should not be used in order to take sides. This is not a test of loyalty. In order for United States to attack Iran, it does not need our permission to do so. It is the only Superpower in the world and has all the means to conduct a full scale war against any country, if it is deemed to be a legitimate war and is considered a thread to the National Interest. So we need to understand what preventive actions we could have taken in order to not let things to get to this point.
If we would have projected the trajectory of Islamic Republic on the day it was born, we would have realized that at some point this situation would have surfaced in the trajectory path that Islamic Republic has taken. This was inevitable. It was a war in its making. We should have known that this was coming. It was only matter of time.
During the Cold War, since there were two Superpowers in the world, so any time one country was threatened, it would try to form an alliance with one of the Superpowers and try to hide behind it in order to stay safe. However that is no longer the case. Now the global bipolar politics is replaced by the unipolar international politics, so there is no place to hide any more, but to face the consequences of the war. The Globalization would not tolerate any obstacles on its path.
Through out history usually the root causes of the wars for the most part have been based on the control and domination over the available resources. Each country would try to gain control or maintain its domination on the limited resources. Some of the reasons for war have been territorial claims or border dispute or control over the natural resources such as water, irrigation or access to the mining of natural products.
The argument used by the proponents of the war usually has been to protect the National Interest of that country. I provide the definition and a brief description of National Interest here.

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