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US Presidential Election 2008

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  • #61
    The Economist has created a very interesting section where, as I understood, subscribers have so far voted for either of the US presidential candidates, no matter where they subscribed from. This hypothetical worldwide vote for the American presidency is not representative of the general public but it is most likely representative of the English-speaking (not necessarily native), mostly highly educated and liberal (those who are likely to read the magazine), population around the world. And quite itnerestingly there have been enough votes from almost any country in the world for the results to be valid and published, except for countries like Mauritania, Mali, North Korea or Tajikistan.

    The results are quite interesting. The US is a strong Obama supporter according to the online poll. This is of course a sign that The Economist is clearly no appeal to the average Republican supporters, the Joe Plumbers and maybe even mothers with pregnant under-age daughters! There are only three countries in the world that are McCain supporters, at least so far (end of October), and they are Algeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Iraq. Why are Algerian and Congolese readers of The Economist McCain fans? Maybe because these two countries are mostly concerned about national security and see McCain as the stronger man in the field of security. There are also other countries with recent past conflicts where the population seem to be somewhat split, and not almost totally Obama-leaning, like Venezuela, Columbia, or the newly invaded tiny Caucasus country of Georgia. Such countries seem to have The Economist readers who are more concerned about security and a possible protection of their interests by the US government, so they are more likely to vote McCain in this hypothetical worldwide poll.

    Iraq is the trickiest country of them all. Would the population of Iraq vote for McCain or rather Barack (Hussein) Obama? I am not really sure who they would vote for, but one thing is clear and that is the presence of a huge American army on ground in Iraq, who are far more likely to read The Economist rather the Arabs and Kurds. There are also American soldiers in Afghanistan who would also be far more likely to read the Economist than Afghans themselves, but there are also the British, the French, the Germans and other non-American soldiers who would definitely come as a counterbalancing voting block to a more likely strong McCain-leaning American army.

    In Iran's case it is obvious that native Iranians (as there are very few foreigners in Iran) have largely voted for Obama and this is quite a clear sign that educated and liberal Iranians are Obama supporters, just like the Americans, and they are definitely not concerned about a possible protection of the Iranian population by the Americans, which may be the case for small countries like Georgia.

    It is also quite interesting that Israelis have largely voted for Obama rather than McCain, though national security is the greatest concern of the Israeli public. This may be a sign that no matter how much the Republicans try to show their tolerant and pluralistic face, they are still viewed as the white Christian party, and most Muslims or Jews find it very difficult to vote for them even when they find the Republican policies more appealing. This also goes for me, as an Iranian, as a non-Christian, and as a supporter of most of McCain policies (conservative, small, government etc).

    Let's see how the US democracy has progressed and whether Americans will be able to vote a black man to the highest office. Barack Obama has shown tenacity and leadership in this long and difficult campaign and he has definitely no less abilities than George W Bush for the job.

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    • #62
      Obama, McCain fire final shots of campaign

      Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain took their final shots at each other and barnstormed battleground states on Monday to wrap up a U.S. presidential campaign in which Obama was leading but McCain hoped to pull off a historic upset.

      After campaigning for almost two years, the candidates were running on adrenaline and buoyed by big crowds, preparing to end up in their home states -- Obama in Illinois, McCain in Arizona -- to await Americans' judgment on Tuesday.

      Huge challenges await the winner, including restoring growth to the sagging U.S. economy, fighting wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, getting a handle on a budget deficit running close to $500 billion and restoring the luster of the world's lone superpower.

      Interest in the election to determine a successor to unpopular President George W. Bush was high. Millions of Americans had already voted early and election officials were bracing for long lines at polling stations. A record turnout, easily eclipsing the 2004 vote total of more than 121 million, was possible.

      The candidates began the last day of campaign 2008 in Florida, scene of the famous 2000 recount battle that Bush won and a state McCain needs to stave off defeat.

      Illinois Sen. Obama, 47, who would be America's first black president, rode his message as an anti-Bush change agent and was sailing along with the lead in national opinion polls and in many swing states that will determine the outcome.

      "After decades of broken politics in Washington, eight years of failed policies from George Bush, and 21 months of a campaign that has taken us from the rocky coast of Maine to the sunshine of California, we are one day away from change in America," Obama told supporters in Jacksonville, Florida.

      McCain, faced with the Herculean task of extending Republican rule of the White House for a third straight term with the current incumbent's unpopularity draped on his shoulders, was hoping for a miracle finish.

      'MEASURING THE DRAPES'

      "The pundits have written us off just like they've done before and my opponent is measuring the drapes in the White House," McCain told a spirited rally in Tampa, Florida. "The pundits may not know it and the Democrats may not know it, but 'the Mac' is back. We're going to win this election."

      McCain, 72, who would be the oldest person ever elected to a first presidential term, accused Obama of wanting to raise taxes to pursue liberal policies and fought back against Obama's attempts to tie him to Bush, saying he was not Bush.

      "If Sen. Obama wanted to run against George Bush he should've run four years ago," he said.

      The two-year campaign, which has been estimated to cost $2 billion, will extend even into Election Day. McCain will make stops in Colorado and New Mexico after voting in Arizona.

      Obama will make a final plea for votes on Tuesday in Indianapolis. Usually a solid Republican state, Indiana is flirting with Obama this year.

      Americans will vote in what amounts to 51 separate elections in each state and the District of Columbia. Each state is allocated electoral votes based on the size of its representation in Congress. Whoever gets 270 electoral votes wins the White House.

      While Obama has many combinations of states that he can use to get to 270, McCain's path is narrow. He has been mostly racing around states Bush won in 2004 trying to defend them while hoping to nab traditionally Democratic Pennsylvania.

      In Congressional elections on Tuesday, Democrats appeared poised to make gains in their majorities in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate. All 435 House seats are at stake and 35 of the Senate's 100 seats are up for election.

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      • #63
        America is jittery as election's outcome draws near

        The charged coffeehouse conversations. The constant punching of states on computerized electoral college maps. ( Florida -- red or blue?) The mesmerizing hours in front of Fox, CNN and YouTube.

        It's time for this to end.

        Across time zones and political persuasions, from north to south, anxious and exhausted Americans said Monday that they couldn't wait for the interminable, contentious presidential campaign finally to be over. It's time for them, and their country, to move on.

        If she didn't already know how much stress was building, it was confirmed for Caryn McVoy, 55, on Monday morning when she woke up, went for a stroll around her Denver neighborhood and burst out crying.

        "Tomorrow's going to be very special," she said, hoping for a Barack Obama victory she believes would launch the country on a dramatic new course. "Everybody I know is feeling very emotional right now."

        Across the country in Augusta, Ga., Howard Merry would not have disagreed. Though Merry, 36, supports Republican John McCain, he said he had found the country "just sickeningly polarized" by the nonstop campaigning. On Sunday night, the biotechnology entrepreneur and his Bible study group prayed for an end to what he called "a real bitter season."

        With America in the midst of two wars and an economic crisis worse than most people can remember, it was hard to find the kind of voters Monday who in past years would say the outcome didn't matter.

        The swelling emotion could be found in microcosm in an apartment in New York's East Village, where two college roommates -- one a Democrat, the other a Republican -- hid behind their bedroom doors to avoid a last-minute political discussion.

        David Laska, a 21-year-old student at New York University, felt sadness that the race seemed to be slipping away from McCain, who he said "really had the capacity to be a great American president. But the political climate right now is so bad I think he doesn't have a prayer."

        Still, Laska planned to drive to Pennsylvania to help with last-minute get-out-the-vote efforts.

        One might expect Laska's roommate, Obama supporter Bryan Fellbusch, to be more upbeat. But the 21-year-old reported an affliction common to many of his fellow Democrats -- post-traumatic stress from losses in 2000 and 2004.

        "I've been freaking out all day. I keep having these horrible flashbacks to . . . four years ago, when Bush was reelected. It was the most devastating day of my life," said Fellbusch, who had worked for Democrat John F. Kerry when the Massachusetts senator came within 118,000 votes in Ohio of claiming the presidency in 2004.

        As if the endless campaign and the economic malaise didn't provide enough anxiety, many voters found themselves fretting about the very integrity of the democratic process. Perhaps that's not surprising, given the constant news reports in recent weeks: Republicans protesting fraudulent voter registrations. Democrats charging that legitimate voters were being purged from the rolls.

        Election officials across the country issued rounds of assurances in recent days about their registration lists, their voting machines and their contingency plans. But many voters weren't ready to have faith.

        "I am anxious, nervous, hesitant," said Dianna Dalton, a 48-year-old showroom consultant for a heating and plumbing company in Zanesville, Ohio. "We need a change. But I think the government is corrupt, and if they see Obama is gonna win, something is gonna happen. Ballots might disappear."

        An avalanche of information this year -- particularly on the Internet -- has not always been a good thing.

        Zachary Paul Sire, a freelance writer from Huntington Beach, dubbed the condition "Election Obsessive Compulsive Disorder" on his blog. The 31-year-old Obama supporter estimated he has spent at least 10 hours a day monitoring blogs, television and polls since the party conventions this summer.

        "I genuinely feel nervous," Sire said. "I'm not being able to sleep, not eating as much or eating at strange hours of the day, being irritable toward the people I live with."

        But true junkies said they had no intention of giving up their fix before one last binge. They can almost see the networks' giant electoral maps, spotted with Democratic blue and Republican red. They can hear the talking heads dissecting the urban vote and waiting for totals to roll in from Vigo County, Indiana, a national bellwether for more than a century.

        Places like Manuel's Tavern in Atlanta -- a locally famous hangout for Democrats and political aficionados -- were made for them.

        Signs on the door advertise tonight like a heavyweight championship fight: " ELECTION DAY 2008!!" they screamed. "OBAMA VS MCCAIN. Only One Will Survive. . ."

        At this point, Sire said, he is still praying for an Obama knockout. But he will welcome an ending. Any kind of ending.

        "Even if McCain wins, I will breathe a big sigh of relief," he said. "Even if my guy doesn't win, I will be relieved that it's over."

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        • #64
          پیروزی اوباما در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری آمریکا

          باراک اوباما: چهل و چهارمین رئیس جمهوری آمریکا
          باراک اوباما، نامزد حزب دموکرات در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری آمریکا، به عنوان چهل و چهارمین رئیس جمهوری ایالات متحده انتخاب شده است.

          شمارش آرا در اکثر ایالت های آمریکا نشان می دهد که باراک اوباما، سناتور 47 ساله ایالات ایلینوی و نامزد حزب دموکرات در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری، توانسته است به حد نصاب دویست و هفتاد رای در کالج انتخاباتی دست یابد و بر جان مک کین، رقیب خود از حزب جمهوریخواه غلبه کند.

          گزارش شده است که در این انتخابات بیش از 110 میلیون تن از رای دهندگان آمریکایی شرکت داشتند و آقای اوباما 52 درصد و آقای مک کین 47 درصد آرا را به دست آوردند.

          براساس محاسبات انجام شده، انتظار می رود آقای اوباما سیصد و سی و هشت رای و آقای مک کین یکصد و پنجاه و شش رای از مجموع آرای کالج انتخاباتی را کسب کنند.

          با اعلام نتیجه نهایی شمارش آرا، آقای اوباما رسما به عنوان رئیس جمهوری منتخب ایالات متحده معرفی می شود و مراسم تحلیف او روز 20 ژانویه سال آینده برگزار خواهد شد.

          باراک اوباما نخستین آمریکایی سیاهپوست در تاریخ این کشور است که به مقام ریاست جمهوری دست می یابد.

          با قطعی شدن انتخاب باراک اوباما در این انتخابات، جان مک کین این پیروزی را به رقیب انتخاباتی خود تبریک گفت و حمایت و وفاداری خود را نسبت به رئیس جمهوری جدید ایالات متحده اعلام داشت.


          اوباما نخستین سیاهپوستی که به ریاست جمهوری آمریکا انتخاب می شود
          جان مک کین در تماس تلفنی با باراک اوباما از استقامت و دستاورد رقیب خود ستایش به عمل آورد و گفت که مردم آمریکا منصفانه به نظرات خود او نیز گوش داده اند.

          نامزد شکست خورده حزب جمهوریخواه در سخنانی در جمع هواداران خود با اشاره به پیروزی قاطع باراک اوباما گفت: "مرم آمریکا سخن گفته اند و صدای آنان کاملا واضح و روشن بوده است."

          جورج بوش، که دومین دوره ریاست جمهوری او به زودی به پایان می رسد نیز در تماس تلفنی با آقای اوباما پیروزی "رئیس جمهوری منتخب" را به او تبریک گفت.

          آقای بوش با جان مک کین نیز تماس گرفت و نحوه مبارزه و واکنش او به پیروزی باراک اوباما را مورد ستایش قرار داد.

          در مبارزات انتخاباتی سال 2000، جورج بوش و جان مک کین برای کسب نامزدی حزب جمهوریخواه به رقابت پرداختند که نتیجه آن گزینش آقای بوش و پیروزی نهایی او در انتخابات آن سال بود.

          واکنش به 'انتخابات تاریخی'
          سناتور جان مک کین در پذیرش شکست در مبارزات انتخاباتی این دوره، از برگزاری "انتخاباتی تاریخی" سخن گفت و افزود که پیروزی باراک اوباما سرآغاز عصری جدید برای میلیون ها آمریکایی آفریقایی تبار است.

          آقای مک کین اظهار داشت که انتخاب اوباما نشان می دهد که "ایالات متحده می تواند فرصتی یکسان را در اختیار هرکس قرار دهد تا به رویاهای خود جامه عمل بپوشاند."


          مک کین از 'انتخاباتی تاریخی' سخن گفته است
          براساس ارزیابی های انجام شده، تعداد شرکت کنندگان در این انتخابات در دهه های اخیر بی سابقه بوده است.

          پس از انتشار خبر پیروزی قطعی باراک اوباما در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری، وی در جمع هواداران خود گفت که مردم آمریکا با برخی از جدی ترین چالش ها در یکصد سال اخیر روبرو هستند.

          رئیس جمهوری منتخب آمریکا از کسانی نیز که به او رای نداده اند درخواست کرد تا برای ایجاد جامعه ای پر امید و عادلانه به او یاری رسانند.

          در ساعات اولیه اعلام خبر موفقیت باراک اوباما، شماری از رهبران و مقامات کشورهای مختلف جهان از این پیروزی استقبال کردند.

          هو جیانتائو، رئیس جمهوری چین، مانوئل باروسو، رئیس اتحادیه اروپا و رهبران فرانسه، بریتانیا و ژاپن از جمله نخستین مقامات خارجی بودند که انتخاب آقای اوباما را به او تبریک گفتند.

          رئیس جمهوری چین ابراز امیدواری کرد که روابط این کشور و آمریکا به سطح جدیدی ارتقا یابد و تارو آسو، نخست وزیر ژاپن، گفت که برای تقویت هرچه بیشتر روابط با ایالات متحده تلاش خواهد کرد.

          همچنین، سوسیلو بامبانگ یودهویونو، رئیس جمهوری اندونزی، گفت که امیدوار است رهبری آقای اوباما به حل بحران اقتصادی جهانی کمک کند.

          گزارش های رسیده از اندونزی حاکی از آن است که انتخاب باراک اوباما، که چهار سال از دوران کودکی خود را در این کشور گذرانده، با خرسندی بسیاری از مردم اندونزی مواجه شده است.

          در کنیا، موای کیباکی، رئیس جمهوری، به مناسبت انتخاب باراک اوباما، روز پنجشنبه این هفته را در آن کشور تعطیل عمومی اعلام کرد.

          بازارهای مالی جهان انتخاب اوباما را مثبت ارزیابی کرده اندپدر آقای اوباما در کنیا متولد شده بود و هنگام تحصیل در آمریکا، با مادر او ازدواج کرد هرچند این ازدواج به زودی به متارکه انجامید.

          بازارهای مالی جهان نیز انتخاب باراک اوباما را مثبت ارزیابی کرده اند و شاخص بهای سهام در بورس ژاپن بیش از 4 درصد ترقی کرد و بازارهای سهام در سنگاپور، هنگ کنگ، استرالیا و زلاندنو نیز شاهد افزایش شاخص بهای سهام بودند.

          روز گذشته، و با پیش بینی موفقیت باراک اوباما، شاخص بهای سهام در بازار بورس نیویورک حدود 3 درصد افزایش یافت و بازارهای سهام اروپایی نیز بین 4 تا 5 درصد رشد کردند.

          اگرچه آقایان اوباما و مک کین در جریان مبارزات انتخاباتی برنامه های اقتصادی خود را به تفصیل بیان نکرده اند، اما به نظر می رسد که سرمایه گذاران در سرتاسر جهان نتیجه این انتخابات را تحولی مثبت ارزیابی می کنند.

          به گفته برخی ناظران، نتیجه انتخابات دست کم نشان می دهد که با وجود دشواری های اقتصادی فعلی، مردم آمریکا نسبت به آینده خوشبین هستند و این کشور از توانمندی و انعطاف پذیری سیاسی و اجتماعی لازم برای در دست گرفتن رهبری جهان در دوره ای بحرانی برخوردار است.

          دولت ایران هنوز نسبت به انتخاب باراک اوباما به ریاست جمهوری آمریکا واکنش رسمی نشان نداده است اما به گزارش خبرگزاری دولتی ایران - ایرنا - محمد حسن ابوترابی، نایب رئیس اول مجلس، در اظهاراتی در روز چهارشنبه این تحول را نشانه شکست سیاست دولت جمهوریخواه در آمریکا توصیف کرده است.

          آقای ابوترابی گفته است که "اوباما می تواند با استفاده از تجارب شکست خورده بوش و سیاست های غلط او در خاورمیانه، به اصلاح رفتار خویش همت گمارد."

          به گفته نایب رئیس اول مجلس ایران، سیاست های جورج بوش در قبال موضوع هسته ای ایران، جنگ در افغانستان و عراق و حمایت از اسرائیل "باعث انزوای آمریکا در میان ملل آسیا، جهان اسلام و کشورهای مستقل و آزادیخواه شده است."

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