The End Of Dictador Islamic Republic (Election fraud)

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  • Rasputin
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2005
    • 63906

    #496
    I am an Iranian citizen and I did not participate in the fraudulent June 12th presidential elections in Iran.

    This is the awkward position I find myself in now, having spent nearly three weeks watching millions protest the results of that election in the streets of Iran and around the world. This is the awkward position I find myself in, surrounded by a sea of protesters demanding “Where is my Vote?” at the solidarity rallies I’ve been attending in the city where I live. This is the decision I am reminded of every day, as I sift through the seemingly endless stream of information being disseminated on the mainstream news, YouTube, Facebook, and the blogosphere for hours every day. This is the decision I am reminded of as I try to find my way in the world of citizen journalism, sharing news from Iran, translating videos and breaking news, and exposing the lies of Iranian state media.

    This is the decision I am reminded of as I write this now, in solidarity with the millions of Iranians who, unlike me, chose to believe in the democratic promise of the Islamic Republic by casting their vote for change on June 12th 2009: the millions of Iranians who watched that vote get stolen from them and are now demanding it back.

    Like most of my Iranian friends and family in the diaspora, I had never voted in any Iranian election. But this year was different. There was a sense of urgency among my friends both in and out of Iran, a passion forcefully expressed each time we--secular, democracy-seeking Iranians—would debate that eternal moral and political question: to vote or not to vote? To try to bring about change, like Shirin Ebadi, by working within the system; or to refuse to participate in—and thus legitimate—a system we believe is fundamentally flawed.

    In my case, after long reflection, I decided that I could not vote for a candidate of convenience in whom I only half-heartedly believe to head a government in which I don’t believe at all. As someone who has never spent more than three straight months of her adult life in Iran, and who has little in common with the “average” Iranian voter--largely because I don’t believe that religious doctrine (and certainly not strict interpretations of Islamic law) should have any place in the state—I simply didn't think it was my place to vote in this election.

    When news came of Ahmadinejad's landslide "victory," I wasn't shocked. On one hand, I told myself, Ahmadinejad is a populist whose base is comprised of the devout and underprivileged masses from whom I have always been insulated, whom I have never gotten to know in the "real world" outside my family’s north Tehran cocoon. I had assumed that the green wave movement was restricted to people like myself: Iran's urban elite, the diaspora, and the remaining 20% of the middle-class population with internet access. In that case, Ahmadinejad's supposed 63% margin didn’t seem at all improbable.

    Then, when the many irregularities became public and it began to become clear that the election had been rigged in some way, I wasn't surprised either. After all, I never believed we were dealing with a transparent and democratic system to begin with. While I was puzzled by the clumsy way in which the whole deception had been pulled off (the announcement of results before the polls had closed, Mousavi’s failure to procure a majority of votes in his home town, etc.), the fact that a fraud had taken place in the first place did not faze me. Given the zero-sum game the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei has been playing for some time now, it seems perfectly plausible that he would want to make it look like Ahmadinejad has a popular mandate to continue doing his bidding.

    No one knows what the real numbers would have been; maybe Mousavi won; maybe Ahmadinejad did; or maybe a second-round run-off between the two would have been necessary. But ultimately this fraud just served to reinforce my cynical view of the fundamental problem Iranians face: when you're dealing with a theocratic dictatorship, voting is meaningful only to the extent that the clerical powers that be—and the Supreme Leader in particular—are willing to respect the popular will. In this case, they are not.

    Having said all this, I must admit that if the opposition had succeeded in forcing Khamenei to annul this election and to hold a new one in the presence of international monitors, I would have voted without hesitation. Not because I believe in the system, and not because I believe in any of the establishment leaders out there (Mousavi, Khatami, Rafsanjani, even Montazeri), but because I think it's important to show solidarity with the Iranian people and to expose the system for being the fraud it is.

    I think Iranians are so outraged right now because they’re seeing that the system, in its current form, DOESN'T work, that it is run by people who shamelessly rig elections with completely made-up numbers. I think people are beginning to see through the "republican" facade of this theocracy, whose continued existence depends on so much indoctrination, misinformation, and fraud. I think they’re realizing that the illusion of "selective democracy" the clerics have been perpetuating for 30 years is precisely that: an illusion meant to keep millions (but probably not yet a solid majority) of reformists at bay. I think these reformists are sick and tired of the mind games the regime has been playing on them, trying to quell dissent by giving them false hope: occasionally loosening the reins, holding elections every four years, even permitting Khatami to be president for eight years while ultimately preventing him from institutionalizing any sort of meaningful reforms in the long term.

    As I see it, the Islamic Republic is Machiavellian through and through. The powers that be know exactly how to manipulate people: to trick them into thinking they've taken two steps forward (as it seemed they did during the Khatami years) only to push them right back to where they started (perhaps even further back) by propping up someone like Ahmadinejad. Note that allegations of vote rigging are nothing new in Iran: in the first round of the 2005 elections, Karroubi “officially” received about 500,000 fewer votes than Ahmadinejad, and was thus eliminated from the run-off. He claimed that he had been cheated, a view shared by many others. I wouldn't be surprised if Ahmadinejad's out-of-nowhere rise to power at that time was also orchestrated.

    But here is where my rant stops. Because it is precisely in knowing how rotten the system is that I can appreciate the meaning of the nearly 40 million votes cast on June 12th: that is, by voting in this election, Iranians chose to believe--despite the odds being stacked firmly against them--that change can be achieved by working within the framework provided by the constitution of the Islamic Republic. Every time the cynic in me rears its ugly head, whispering that if the system worked, then people's votes would have been counted in the first place, I try to remind myself that optimism itself can be a form of resistance. As I’m sure the first black president of the United States would agree, we can’t underestimate the “audacity” it takes for people in a de facto totalitarian state to hope for democratic change.

    When I saw the millions of people coming out into the streets in those first few days after the election, when I heard the passion and outrage in their voices, it was then that something finally clicked. I realized I had to put my cynicism aside. Lock it up into a box and throw away the key. Because the popular movement we are seeing in Iran today has become bigger than the election, bigger than Mousavi. This is now about the Iranian peoples' loss of faith in their government, it's false promise of "ethical democracy" and divinely-sanctioned "justice" for all.

    This is not about my vision for Iran, a vision based on social democracy and the fundamental principle of separation between church and state. This is not about the royalists’ vision for Iran, a vision they try to promote at rallies by waving the old monarchic flag. This is not about the Mujahedin’s vision of Iran, which they try to promote by interrupting those rallies with communist slogans. This is not about the vision of any fringe group in the diaspora that selfishly wants to promote its own agenda. This is about supporting the people of Iran who, for whatever reason, voted for Mousavi or Karroubi, or even Rezai, and are now demanding justice on their own terms. This is about their vision of Iran, whether we agree with it or not, and regardless of our own ideological standpoint.

    iran

    Comment

    • Rasputin
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2005
      • 63906

      #497
      It’s time we Iranians of the diaspora stop ranting about the future WE want for our native country: stop advocating the necessity of revolution in Iran, stop interrupting moments of silence for the dead with chants of “Down with the Islamic Republic!” We must realize that these are precisely the sorts of sound bites the regime’s propaganda machine feeds on. Indeed, state-run TV and newspapers continue to report that protestors are heeding the calls of Zionist agents and being egged on by the BBC and Voice of America; they have even gone so far as to claim that Neda, the young girl whose slow death was witnessed by millions of people across the world, was killed by a “foreign bullet.” Do we really need to supply these Orwellian demagogues with any more fodder for their pathetic brainwashing campaign? Most importantly though, as a community who is living safely outside of Iran, we have no right to insist on radical changes that would only take the Iranian people down an even bloodier path than what we’ve seen so far.

      We must stand in solidarity with the Iranians who voted and those who are defending that vote on the ground. We must speak with a united voice on behalf of those who had enough faith in the system to vote in the first place and who now feel robbed, who demand that their government live up to its promises of democracy within the framework of Islamic values and ethics. Only they can decide what kind of change Iran needs, and only they can weigh the relative risks and benefits of fighting for it.

      I did not vote in the Iranian presidential elections of June 12th 2009: elections that will go down in history as a watershed moment for the Islamic Republic; elections that have irremediably marred the credibility of a government that betrayed its promise of morally-guided democracy. And for this reason, I did not play any role in triggering the unprecedented changes Iran will doubtless be experiencing in the months and years to come. But I’ll be damned if I don’t speak up in support of those Iranians who, by voting and defending their votes today, demand the right to determine their own destiny.

      iran

      Comment

      • Rasputin
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2005
        • 63906

        #498
        The post election events in Iran and the ensuing “selection” of Mr. Ahmadinejad and the subsequent brutal suppression of the popular furor is puzzling for any Iran observer. The Ayatollahs in Iran have hitherto prided themselves for ruling by consensus and having the masses behind them.

        The recent events are a turning point as for the first time in the post revolution history of Iran the schism in the ruling clerical establishment was on display for the world to see, and for the savage suppression of the largely peaceful rallies by the “children of the revolution”.

        The true intentions behind stealing the people’s votes and anointing President Ahmadinejad for a second term may be opaque, but we get some hints from the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei’s Friday sermon: "when it comes to serving the nation ... the positions of the president [Ahmadinejad] are closer to mine."

        In Mr. Khamenei’s calculus, the “nation”, or more properly the regime, will be better served by Mr. Ahmadinejad, not Mr. Mousavi. The main issues on the horizon for the next President are the negotiations with the West on Iran’s nuclear enrichment program and relations with the USA. On both counts, Mr. Khamenei did not see a partner in Mr. Mousavi. The clerical establishment in Iran is keen on keeping its power by any means; it does this using a labyrinth of security and paramilitary forces. An essential prerequisite to ensure their grip on Iran is to have a winning card in their bag which ensures that the Western countries will abandon any thought of regime change, or eventually acquiesce to normal trade with it. If treatment of India, Pakistan, and other nuclear club members is any guide, the ruling clergy believe that a nuclear capability will give them that winning card to make the West abandon thoughts of interference and regime change.

        The Mullahs are indeed looking to develop a nuclear weapon capability not to attack Israel, Europe, or the US interests, but as a defensive insurance against any Western interference to bring about regime change. Assured of their longevity, the Mullahs can continue their pillaging of Iran’s economical resources and leaving some crumbs for those they consider “khodi” or loyal to the regime. In other words, the Mullahs in Iran want a nuclear capability (weapon or quick weaponization) to ensure that they can keep the Iranian people in perpetual confinement; ironically, they have cleverly sold their nuclear program as a national empowerment and pride issue.

        The Guardian Council which vets all political candidates, including all presidential candidates, did not envision that Mr. Mousavi, an “uninspiring political has been”, will indeed win the presidential election. This explains the haste in which the regime abandoned the election process and manipulated the results to keep Mr. Ahmadinejad in power.

        The establishment also did not anticipate the popular uproar, in disbelief of a second term for Mr. Ahmadinejad, and reacted with blatant viciousness. For a regime boasting of having legitimacy from the people, and with fresh memories of the fall of another dictator, to so brutally put down its own people can only mean that the Ayatollah must see his nuclear weapon within reach and does not want to see Mr. Mousavi spoiling it. This is an unfortunate conclusion but is a logical explanation for the brutality and abandonment of the popular good will. Mr. Ahmadinejad advocates a confrontational foreign policy, tacitly endorsed by Mr. Khamenei; on the other hand, Mr. Mousavi campaigned on a pragmatic non-confrontational policy toward the West, much like President Khatami.

        The hardliners firmly believe that in their negotiations with the West a hard line stance will serve them better. They point to the post 9/11 friendly gestures by President Khatami to the USA by helping America in Afghanistan, and his secret letter via the Swiss intermediaries to President Bush, in which he offered unconditional negotiations. That gesture was rewarded with the famous “axis of evil” label and additional sanctions. The take-away lesson from this experience for Mr. Khamenei, beside the humiliation factor for Iran’s government, was that Iran should only negotiate with the West from an uncompromising position of strength coupled with a foreign policy that is on the offense.

        This explains two of the most visible policy agendas of President Ahmadinejad, namely the Holocaust denial and nuclear enrichment program. Going on attack by questioning the Holocaust, a crime in some Western countries, was a way to get back at the West for their mockery of Prophet Muhammad in cartoons, a taboo in Islamic countries. It is no coincidence that Mr. Ahmadinejad’s Holocaust denial becomes louder when Israel attacks Southern Lebanon and Gaza (Hamas), two of Mr. Khamenei’s regional allies. Similarly, Ahmadinejad accelerated the nuclear enrichment.

        Indeed, when it comes to serving Khamenei, Ahmadinejad is the man, and he is being rewarded with another term.

        iran

        Comment

        • Rasputin
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2005
          • 63906

          #499
          I will pay $10,000 to the first person or organization that presents a coherent story for how the Iranian election was stolen that is consistent with knowable facts about the Iranian election process as it took place on June 12-13 and the information that has been published since, including the ballot box tallies that have been published on the web by the Iranian government.

          In order to collect the reward, you don't have to prove your case beyond a shadow of a doubt. But your numbers have to add up. To collect your reward, it's not sufficient to cite press reports or anecdotal evidence of election irregularities, or to claim as authority Western commentators or NGOs who have not themselves put together a coherent story. To collect your reward, your story has to tell how on June 12, a majority of Iranian voters voted for other candidates besides Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, yet this was transformed by the Iranian election authorities into a majority for Ahmadinejad.

          Here are the numbers you have to explain. According to the official tally, Ahmadinejad got about 24.5 million votes. Mir Hossein Mousavi got 13.2 million votes. That's a difference of more than 11 million votes.

          So, when I say your numbers have to add up, I mean your story of stolen votes has to overcome that 11 million vote gap. (The number would differ somewhat if you only want to say that Ahmadinejad didn't get a first round majority, as opposed to merely beating Mousavi, but it would not differ by much, since the third and fourth place candidates took such a small share of the vote.)

          To illustrate: much has been made of the Guardian Council's "admission" that in about 50 cities or towns, the number of votes exceeded the number of people eligible to vote in that area. Note, first of all, that unlike in the United States, where in general you can only vote where you are registered, in Iran you can vote wherever you happen to be that day. So the fact that more votes were recorded in a jurisdiction than there are eligible voters in that jurisdiction, in a high turnout election, in itself proves nothing. But put that to the side. The Guardian Council noted that the total number of votes in the 50 cities and towns was about 3 million, and that even if you threw away all 3 million votes from all the people voting in the 50 cities and towns, it wouldn't affect the election result. Note that 3 million wasn't the difference between votes and voters, still less an estimate of the impact on the total, it was the total number of votes. The Guardian Council was simply making the commonsense argument that even if you take a number which is clearly much bigger than the likely impact of any discrepancy in the 50 towns, and throw that number away, it still doesn't come close to affecting the overall result.

          If you've been getting your "information" from the TV, or some usually liberal commentators who shot from the hip with unsubstantiated "stolen election" claims in the days after the election and now can't back down, you may be surprised by this reward offer.

          But remember: "everybody who was anybody" thought that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction before the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. Why? Because that's what the TV said. There was no evidence, but that didn't matter.

          Here we go again. Most people are not getting their information from print media, they're getting it from TV. And of course, even in the print media, you have to search for dissenting views from the TV narrative.

          Ken Ballen and Patrick Doherty had an op-ed in the Washington Post pointing out that Ahmadinejad's election victory was consistent with their pre-election polling data. (By the way, contrary to the claims of some analysts who cited their own unsubstantiated claim that Ahmadinejad could never have won the majority of Azeris as evidence of fraud, the Terror Free Tomorrow poll found Ahmadinejad had a strong lead among Azeris. And those who say Mousavi automatically had to win his home province should tell Al Gore.) Some folks who are lazy or bad at math have tried to discredit the TFT poll data, because it was taken three weeks before the election, there was a subsequent surge for the opposition and there were a high number of people who didn't state a candidate preference in the poll. But even if you allocate two-thirds of those not stating a preference to the opposition, you still get an election victory for Ahmadinejad in the first round. And some of the same folks who want to dismiss the Terror Free Tomorrow data because it was three weeks old want to cite election results from four years and even eight years earlier to claim the election was stolen. Of course, we don't predict elections in the U.S. like that.

          Former NSC staffers Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett have had two pieces in the Politico pointing out how implausible the "stolen election" claim is. Iranian economist Djavad Salehi-Isfahani - professor at Virginia Tech and guest scholar at Brookings - noted in the New York Times online evidence that Ahmadinejad's programs to distribute income and wealth more evenly have begun to bear fruit, explaining his support in rural areas and small towns:

          "Once these factors are taken into account, it is not so implausible that Mr. Ahmadinejad may have actually won a majority of the votes cast, though not those cast in Tehran. The well-to-do urbanite Iranians and their political leaders would do well to allow room for the possibility that a recount may reduce but not eliminate Mr. Ahmadinejad's lead, and, in that case, respect the voters will and prepare for a comeback in 2013. "
          Of course, now that it's becoming increasingly clear that the "stolen election" story was a hoax, people are saying it doesn't matter if the election was stolen. This is predictable - it's hard for people to admit that they were wrong.

          But it does matter. It matters a great deal.

          The widely-believed story of the "stolen election" is already being used to argue for a toughening of U.S. policy against Iran and the abandonment of President Obama's promised diplomatic engagement. Recall that prior to the Iranian election, the alternatives that had been put before the American people were diplomatic engagement and war - or "crippling economic sanctions" - like cutting off Iran's gas imports - that are tantamount to war and will very likely lead eventually to a shooting war. So, in the U.S. political context - the U.S. is almost certainly not going to just leave Iran alone - if you argue that the U.S. cannot engage diplomatically with Iran, you're effectively arguing for eventual war.

          That's why I was shocked that Avaaz, for example, is demanding that governments "withhold recognition" from the Iranian government. Apart from being a fantastically unrealistic demand - China is going to withhold diplomatic recognition from Iran because of the stolen election claims of the Iranian opposition? - Avaaz's current position is totally at odds with its earlier advocacy of diplomatic engagement. You cannot simultaneously campaign for diplomatic isolation of the Iranian government and promote diplomacy with it. You have to choose. And the alternative to diplomacy is war.

          Of course people will say it's not about the election now, it's about the violent repression of the protests afterwards.

          But whether we believe the election was stolen has a great bearing on our understanding of what happened afterwards. If the election was not stolen, and the real fraud was the opposition's claim that it was, then much of the opposition was organized around a fraudulent claim. It should go without saying that that doesn't morally justify violent repression. In a democracy, people have the right to believe whatever they want and advocate for it, even if - like people who believe Bush blew up the World Trade Center - their beliefs are obviously false. But if the Iranian election was not stolen, it does make the protest and crackdown fundamentally different political events: it fundamentally undermines the claim of the protesters to be speaking for the majority of the Iranian population, who just voted for a different candidate than the one supported by the protesters. And when the powerful media institutions of the West - which are regarded in much of the world, not without significant justification, as creatures of their host governments - promote the false claim that the election was stolen, the claim of the Iranian government of foreign intervention in Iran's internal politics becomes quite plausible to Iranians - the majority - who support the policies of their government more than they support the policies that the U.S. would like to impose on them.

          Some will say it doesn't matter, because Iran is not a true democracy, regardless of what happened on June 12. Debate is restricted, and candidates are limited. It's obviously true that democracy in Iran is restricted. But that doesn't justify lying about the election, especially with all the terrible consequences those lies will likely have.

          Furthermore, those who want to "support the protesters" by affirming their unsubstantiated claims of a stolen election aren't doing the opposition any favors. If the opposition in Iran wants to win a fair national election in the future, it will likely have to deal with the reasons that it didn't have majority support on June 12. It has to engage the majority of the Iranian population who likely have more illiberal social views, and it has to engage the majority of the Iranian population who want the government to engage in redistributive economic policies, not "Washington Consensus" winner-take-all policies that might please the International Monetary Fund and some better-off Iranians. It has to give up on the fantasy of riding to power on the backs of foreign intervention, and instead dedicate itself to a "long march" through Iranian institutions and Iranian public opinion.

          iran

          Comment

          • Rasputin
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2005
            • 63906

            #500
            چند خبر از ندا نيوز


            اراده مردم باعث قطع برق شد
            طبق خبرهاى رسيده از گوشه و کنار، ديشب، اراده متحد مردم توانست برق هاى شهرهايى از کشور را قطع کند. يادآورى مى شود که چند روز قبل، همسر يکى از مهندسين شرکت برق توانير پيشنهاد داد تا مردم در ساعت مشخصى کليه وسايل برقى خود را همزمان روشن سازند و بدينوسيله ظرفيت شبکه برق رسانى سراسرى را دچار اخلال سازند. با پشتيبانى تعداد زيادى از هموطنان بالاخره ديشب، بين ساعات 9 شب تا 9:30 دقيقه، باعث قطع برق در شرق تهران، ساري، تبريز، اصفهان، رودهن، سقز، لواسان، اهواز، خرمشهر، دزفول و جهرم شد. اين نمايش نشان مى دهد که در صورت اراده و اقدام مشترک مردمى هيچ مانع اجتماعى اى قادر به مقاومت در مقابل اراده و قدرت مردم نيست.


            پخش شبنامه ,اعتصاب عمومى, در بندر عباس
            خب ما هم به عنوان يه شهرستانی حداقل کاری رو که ميتونستيم انجام داديم و در نقاط مختلف شهر اين اعلاميه هارو به ديوار چسبونديم. البته تعداد اعلاميه ها از تعداد عکسها بيشتر هست ولی متاسفانه بعضی هاشون رو قبل از اينکه عکس بگيريم کندن يا مخدوش کردن و بعضی هارو هم به علت شلوغی اون منطقه نتونستيم عکس بگيريم.خلاصه بدونيد ما هم بيکار ننشستيم! (به علت پانين نگاه داشتن هزينه چاپ از انتشار عکس ها خوددارى کرديم)


            اعتراض دانشجوان دانشگاه نجف آباد اصفهان به دولت کودتا
            هزاران نفر از دانشجوان دانشگاه نجف آباد افهان با شعارهای ,مرگ بر دکتاتور, و ,مرگ بر ان دولت مردم فرب, در خنرانی کی از عوامل دولت کودتا شرکت کردند. هر جمله ای که از زبان ان مزدور در مدح احمد نژاد و خامنه ای و دولت کودتا برون م آمد با فرادها ,دروغه، دروغه، ..., ، ,سيب زمينی ارزونی تون، رأی نميديم بهتون, مواجه م شد. مزدور دولت کودتا که شرايط را برای خودش نا امن تشخص داده بود، مجبور به ترک محل شد. سپس دانشجوان با خروج جمعی و متشکل خود از آمف تئاتر در صحن دانشگاه اقدام به راهپيما کرده و همراه با شعارهای دگر فراد م زدند که ,دولت 50 تومن نم خوام، نم خوايم,


            ادامه اعتراضات گسترده شبانه مردم تهران باعث ياس و نا اميدی سرکوبگران
            بنابه گزارشات رسيده از تهران،مردم تهران امشب همانند شبهای ديگر بر بام خانه های خود حاضر شدند و فريادهای اعتراض آميز خود را بر عليه مستبدين حاکم گسترده تر سر دادند.
            افراد شرکت کننده در اين اعتراضات از سنين مختلف می باشند از زنان و مردان مسن تا دختران و پسران جوان و کودکان هستند. اعتراضات مردم حوالی ساعت 22:00 بر بام خانه های آغاز می شود . آنها با فريادهای رسای خود بر عليه ظلم وستم حاکم و شبهای تاريک استبداد می شورند. فضای تهران آکنده از بانک الله اکبر و فرياد مرگ بر ديکتاتور است اين فريادها در هر کوی و محله شنيده می شد. فريادهای پی در پی اعتراضات مردم لرزه بر اندام مستبدين می اندازد. حتی کسانی که سوار بروسائل نقليۀ خود هستند در خيابانها فريادهای اعتراض آميز سر ميدهند. فريادهای اعتراضات مردم تهران تا ساعت 22:30 ادامه يافت.
            نيروهای سرکوبگر که در پايگاههای بسيج و مساجد محل مسقر هستند از شدت يورشهای آنها به منازل و اموال مردم کاسته شده است و حالتی از ياس و انفعال بر آنها حاکم شده است . قدرت واکنش از آنها سلب شده است و مقهور ارادۀ مردم شده اند .
            کوی دانشگاه تهران را از جمعه (۱۲ تير) بسته*اند. اگرچه اين کوی را هر سال در آستانه*ی روز دانشجو (۱۸ تير) مي*بندند، اما فعالان دانشجويی اقدام امسال مسئولان را نشانه*ی نگرانی آنان از اوج*گيری اعتراضهای دانشجويی مي*دانند.


            شرکت هواداران موسوى در تظاهرات 18 تير:
            آخرين خبرهاى دريافتى حکايت از استقبال هواداران موسوى از تظاهرات هاى اعلام شده ى 18 تير دارد. اين خبرها حاکيست که ,جنبش سبز, با انتشار دستوالعمل هاى مخصوص، هواداران خود را به شرکت در اين مراسم فرا خوانده است.


            توصيه هايی برای 18 تير

            1. حتما از ساعت 4 بعدازظهر در خيابانها باشد ، درست است هوا گرم است در سراسر کشور اما کار اصلی ما ، شب هنگام است که نيروهای نظامی ديد کمتری دارند ، اما حضور ما از ساعت 4 بعدازظهر باعث حضور بسيار بسيجيان و نيروهای سرکوبگر خواهد شد ، ايشان اکثرا زره پوش هستند و در گرمای ظهر مطمئنا نيرويشان کاملا تحليل خواهد رفت و در هنگام غروب و 8 به بعد کنترل اوضاع به دست مردم آزاديخواه خواهد بود .
            2. مسيرها طوری تعيين شده است که حتی در صورت حضور نيروهای سرکوبگر آنها تحت محاصره شما باشند نه شما تحت محاصره آنها ، پس اصلا نترسيد . مسيرها در محل بازارهای کشور تعيين شده است ، پس سمت بازار حضور داشته باشيد .
            3. مسيرهای انتخاب شده تقريبا از مسيرهايی هست که نمی توانند به شما گير بدهند ، پس در صورت گير دادند می توانيد بگوييد برای خريد کتاب ، خريد لوازم کامپيوتر يا خريد لباس می رويد ، مطمئنا تمام مسيرهای تعيين شده در شش استان کشور به طوری هست که حضور شما را موجه نمايد .
            4. اگر حتی بدتان می آيد ، لباس خود را روی پيراهنتان بياندازيد ، و تا آن روز ته ريش بگذاريد ، نيروهای اطلاعاتی بدليل همراه داشتن بيسيم يا گاز فلفل و .. (به جز نيروهای ارشد) همواره پيراهن خود را بر روی شلوار می اندازند .
            5. به هيچ عنوان از دست نيروهای بسيجی يا اطلاعاتی و � فرار نکنيد ، شما برای خريد به سمت ميدان انقلاب در تهران يا مسيرهای تعيين شده ديگر در سراسر کشور می رويد . با اين کار نيروهای بسيجی و اطلاعاتی دچار سردرگمی شديدی خواهند شد .
            6. شما بصورت مسالمت آميز راه خود را بپيماييد. اما، اين حق طبيعی شماست که در صورت حمله به شما از خود دفاع کنيد .
            7. خوشبختانه آلودگی شديد هوا که چند روز است غرب کشور را به تعطيلی کشانده به کمک ملت ايران آمده است و شما بدون هيچ عذر و بهانه ای می توانيد از ماسک استفاده نماييد ، اما تا هنگامی که حضور گسترده در مکان هدف شروع نشده است ، از ماسک استفاده ننماييد . استفاده از ماسک برای عدم شناسايی شما توسط نيروهای سرکوبگر بسيار به کار خواهد آمد
            8. يک بسته سيگار حتی در صورت نکشيدن سيگار به کار شما خواهد آمد ، سيگارهايی مانند بهمن ، تير و مگنا بعلت موادی که دارند بهترين سيگار برای مبارزه با گاز اشک آور خواهند بود ، ضمنا فندک برای روشن کردن آن يادتان نرود .
            9. يک دستمال آغشته به سرکه همراه خود داشته باشيد ، در صورت پرتاب گاز اشک آور آن را بر جلوی بينی خود بگذاريد .
            10. چند تکه کاغذ يا روزنامه تا کنيد و در جيب خود داشته باشيد ، در صورت پاشيدن گاز فلفل درست است که صورت شما چند لحظه می سوزد اما با فندک کاغذ را روشن کنيد ، و جلوی صورت خود بگيريد بصورتی که موها و پوست شما نسوزد و گرمای آن به صورت شما بخورد ، گرما باعث تبخير و از بين رفتن اثرات گاز فلفل خواهد شد . درست است که صورت شما در اثر گاز فلفل خواهد سوزش پيدا می کند اما با اين روش هيچ اتفاقی برای شما نخواهد افتاد اما در صورت استفاده از آب صورت شما تاول خواهد زد .
            11. در منطقه هدف به طور مثال دانشگاه تهران ، دستهای هم را به هم قلاب کرده و يک ديوار تشکيل دهيد ، داستان قديمی را که يادتان هست ، يک چوب را ميتوان شکست ، دو چوب را ميتوان شکست ، اما چند چوب را نمی توان شکست
            12. هر نفر به اندازه ای که ميتواند روغن موتور با خود بياورد ، روغن موتور بدترين زهر برای موتور سواران چماق بدست می باشد . در ضمن هر چند نفر که از محله خود را ه می افتيد يک طناب برای بستن مسير می توانيد با خود بياوريد ، طناب را می توانيد دور کمر خود بپيچيد .
            13. اگر می ترسيد و قدرت شرکت در راهپيمايی را نداريد و يا کارمند هستيد و واهمه اخراج داريد و � يک کار ميتوانيد برای خدمت به مردم انجام دهيد ، با دوستان خود قرار بگذاريد و در مسيرهای منتهی به محل تجمع تصادف صوری ايجاد کنيد ، آخرش اين است که 7 هزار تومان جريمه می شويد يا ماشين شما به پارکينگ برای چند روز می رود ، اما شما راه را برای حضور بيشتر نيروهای سرکوبگر بسته ايد و برای ايشان ترافيک و فرسايش ايجاد کرده ايد .

            iran

            Comment

            • Rasputin
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2005
              • 63906

              #501
              Reporting from Tehran and Beirut -- There are no formal organizers and no leader has called on followers to join in. But in cities across Iran, thousands of people are planning to silently march Thursday in unauthorized demonstrations.

              The protesters intend to show their discontent over the reelection last month of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and commemorate the 10th anniversary of a violent confrontation between students and security forces.
              According to one circular passed around on the Internet, demonstrations are planned in more than 200 Iranian cities and towns around the country. Detailed maps of gathering points and meeting places have been circulating for days, even though opposition leader Mir-Hossein Mousavi has called for an end to public protests.

              Tehran police chief Gen. Esmail Ahmadi-Moqaddam vowed Wednesday in a statement broadcast on state television that his forces would confront any demonstration, and some officials warned that the Revolutionary Guard would be deployed to back anti-riot police and pro-government Basiji militiamen.

              But many in Iran say they will go ahead with the demonstrations anyway.


              "A virtual campaign is in full force, and nobody is able to keep it in check," said one announcement, advising protesters to carry no weapon heavier than a rose.

              "I'm going to go because it's important to keep on resisting," said one 29-year-old woman in Tehran, speaking on condition of anonymity. "It's a gesture of hope."

              Farzad, a 28-year-old unemployed engineer in Tehran, said he and scores of friends were determined to take to the streets. He will bring a vinegar-soaked rag to ward off the effects of tear gas and said he is ready to be beaten, chased or even jailed for a couple weeks.

              "I am a mountaineer and fit to run fast in case I am chased by the militias or anti-riot police," said Farzad, who spoke on condition his last name not be published. "The authorities must see us. . . . I have to take to the streets tomorrow."

              Ahmadinejad's reelection June 12, marred by opposition allegations of massive vote-rigging, has created the biggest political rift within the Islamic Republic since the first years after the 1979 revolution. A movement built on Mousavi's presidential campaign continues to challenge authorities, who have attempted to crush dissent by beating and jailing protesters.

              On Wednesday, a prosecutor said that 500 of 2,500 people arrested in weeks of unrest remain in jail.

              Informal organizers of Thursday's gatherings have warned protesters to dress modestly, avoid wearing makeup, keep valuables at home and brace for confrontations with the authorities.

              Those skittish about heading to the streets are being encouraged to drive around honk their horns, as many families did during 2003 commemorations of the 1999 confrontation between students and authorities. Before this year's election, that student rebellion had been the most aggressive challenge to authorities since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

              If nothing else, organizers are urging supporters to just walk around the city. "Your presence on the sidewalks encourages peaceful demonstrators," said a set of instructions posted to the Facebook page of a group supporting Mousavi.

              Solidarity rallies are also being planned in Europe and North America, including in front of the federal building in Los Angeles, at New York's Washington Square Park and Washington's Freedom Plaza, according to numerous websites and mass e-mails.

              "Always bear in mind the objective: A lawful movement for regaining our sovereign rights in the presidential election," the Facebook page said. "Shout out Islamic slogans in a bid to strike a severe blow to violence-seekers who suppress Muslims under cover of religion. You are struggling for freedom, spirituality and human rights."

              iran

              Comment

              • Rasputin
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2005
                • 63906

                #502
                پیدا کردن غسالخانه بهشت زهرا کار سختی نیست. به ویژه اگر زنان سیاهپوش زیادی چشمت را هدایت کنند. خیلی ها آمده اند. صبح زود راه افتاده اند تا راس ساعت 8 صبح در غسالخانه بهشت زهرا باشند. تا جا نمانند. تا در مراسم تشییع سهرابشان، حضوری در خور داشته باشند. نام سهراب نام کمی در فرهنگ ایرانیان نیست. به قول دوستی چه خاصیتی در اسم ها نهفته است که تاریخ خودش را هی در آنها تکرار می کند؟

                همه در حال پچ پچ اند. فعالان مختلف جنبش زنان، چهره هایی از سینما و ادبیات، مادران صلح، بچه های کمپین یک میلیون، دانشجویان، دوستان سهراب و البته خانواده اش که گه گاه صدایشان بلند می شود. صدایی که فقط پرسشگر است؛: "چرا؟" "سهراب چه کرده بود؟" "چرا دروغ؟ چرا همان موقع نگفتید؟ چرا بازی مان دادید؟" و... پرسشهایی که پاسخش، اشک آرام زنان و مردانی است که اینجا، ساعت 8 صبح، در غسالخانه بهشت زهرا، به خاطر پروین فهیمی و سهرابش آمده اند و به خاطر همه جوانهایی که نشد حتا برایشان آهی بلند کشید. سرها در هم تکرارکنان شرح آن 26 روز و سرگردانی پروین را توضیح می دهند. و کمی آن طرف تر موتورسوارهایی را می بینی که دور می زنند و زیاد هم نزدیک می آیند و باز آنسوتر، سبزپوشان نیروی انتظامی هم چشم را می خوانند. خبرها زود دهان به دهان می پیچد : " گفته اند حتا الله اکبر نگویید!"



                همسایه جدید ندا در قطعه 257

                وقتی مراحل اداری تحویل جنازه ای تمام می شود، نام فوت شده را از بلندگو می خوانند تا خانواده اش برای تحویل گرفتن بروند. خیلی پیشتر از خواندن نام سهراب، مادرش، پروین در آغوش زنان دور و برش از حال رفته است. اما نام سهراب، فارغ از تهدیدها، فریاد الله اکبر جمعیت را به آسمان بهشت زهرا می برد. سهراب را بر دست می برند تا نمازگذاران بر او نماز بگذارند.

                و از آنجا راهی قطعه 257 می شویم. جایی که بیست قدم آن سو تر ندا صالحی آقاسلطان، زیر تلی خاک و گلدسته هایی که زیر آفتاب تند تموز هنوز جان دارند، خوابیده است. دوستی زیر لب زمزمه می کند : عزا عزاست امروز، روز عزاست امروز، ندای آقا سلطان صاحب عزاست امروز... اما جایی برای سردادن شعار نیست. وقتی الله اکبر نمی توان گفت، شعر و شعار را درنیامده، سر می برند. اما در همان حینی که سهراب را در خاک می گذراند، پسری میکروفون را به دست می گیرد و در میان حیرت حاضران می گوید:من سهراب و مادرش را از نزدیک نمی شناسم. اما [خواندن] این شعر را تقدیم می کنم به کسی که قلب سهراب را نشانه رفت. و سپس می خواند :

                صحبت از پژمردن یک برگ نیست/ فرض کن مرگ قناری در قفس هم مرگ نیست/ وای جنگل را بیابان می کنند/ دست خون آلود را در پیش چشم خلق پنهان می کنند/ هیچ حیوانی به حیوانی نمی دارد روا، آنچه این نامردمان با جان انسان می کنند.

                سهراب را به خاک می سپارند. مادرش در وداع با او با صدای لرزان و بدون استفاده از بلندگو رو به جمع می گوید: پسرم را کشتند. 26 روز به من گفتند در اوین است. پسرم را کشتند.

                "ای وای، ای وای" پروین را جمعیت، با صدای بلند همراهی می کند. عده ای معترض می گویند سکوت کنید. و عده ای دیگر معترض تر که : حتا نگوییم "ای وای"؟!

                یکی از بستگان سهراب از بلندگو اعلام می کند که خانواده، هیچ مراسمی برای سهراب نخواهند داشت. صدا از کسی بر نمی آید. اما اگر دقیق تر گوش کنی شاید صدای تند تپشهای قلب را بشنوی.

                ساعت حدود 10.30 از بلندگو با لحنی که کمی تندتر برای تسلا دادن به خانواده ای داغدیده است، اعلام می کنند که متفرق شوید ! دوستی با دست اشاره می کند که : آن دو ون خالی پلیس را می بینی؟ می بینم و پیشتر هم دیده ام. مامورانی را هم که در جمع دیده بر داغداران دوخته اند، دیده ام. اما از اشک چه گزارشی می شود داد؟ جز همین که ما هم داریم می نویسیم؟! بگذار انها هم گزارش کنند تعزیه سهراب کشون را.

                جمعیت گریان، یک یک راهی خاک ساده و تنهای ندا می شوند تا فاتحه ای و پچ پچ خفته ای در گوش خاک.



                شام غریبان

                مراسمی در کار نیست، این جمله را همه شنیده ایم. اما هیچ یک از ما اینطور برداشت نکرده ایم که ما نیز مراسمی نخواهیم داشت. همه می دانیم این دستور، تکلیفی است برخانواده های عزادار، نه برای مردمی که برای همدلی منتظر دستور نمی مانند. بنابراین خبرها خیلی زود دهان به دهان منتشر می شود: امشب شام غریبان سهراب است، ادامه تعزیه برای سهراب کشون.

                از سر بلوکی که خانه سهراب در یکی از مجموعه های مسکونی آن زندگی می کرد، جوانهای محل و دوستانش و کسانی که دوستش داشتند، مسیر را تا خانه سهراب با شمع روشن کرده اند. در کوچه مردم زیادی ایستاده اند. در، ورودی ساختمان و مقابل در خانه و نیز داخل آن جمعیت در حال آمد و شدند. پروین عزادار، گاه به جای اینکه تسلا بشنود، تسلا می دهد. هم عزادار است و هم نگران. اما در نگاهش آرامشی خاکستر شده ته نشین می شود. آرامشی که انگار می گوید پسرم بعد از نزدیک یک ماه، امشب آرام می خوابد. در نگاه پروین، اشک کم آورده است.

                اگر در مراسم تشییع، حضور هنرمندانی چون رخشان بنی اعتماد و نویسندگان و روزنامه نگاران و فعالان جنبش زنان دلگرم کننده است، اینجا در این خانه ماتم زده هم شمس لنگرودی و فرزانه طاهری و باز جنبشی ها و چهره های دیگری آمده اند برای تسلیت. چهره هایی که شاید درد مشترک، غم پروین را برای آنها ملموس تر کرده است. فخرالسادات محتشمی پور و زهره آقاجری از آن جمله اند.

                ساعت نزدیک 10، پروین فهیمی نگران به کوچه می آید، جایی که تعداد زیادی از مهمانانش منتظر شروع زمان الله اکبر گفتن اند. او آرام و مهربان از جمع خواهش می کند که بروند. می گوید که نگران آنهاست. نگران ما. و دسته های گلی را که برایش برده اند به کوچه آورده است و شاخه شاخه بدرقه راه مهمان ها می کند. عده ای می روند و عده ای می مانند. آنها از همان جنس سهرابند. جنسی که "دستور" را برنمی تابد. ساعت ده می شود و طنین الله اکبر از کوچه نیلوفر آسمان شب را می لرزاند.

                iran

                Comment

                • Rasputin
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2005
                  • 63906

                  #503
                  More than one month has passed since the ruling faction of the Islamic Republic tried to silence all voices of dissent by rigging the election results and staging a semi coup-d’etat. By now it looks like a large portion of young Iranians have come to share the views that many intellectuals and progressive forces have had since before the elections: a regime which is founded on injustice and fear is not reformable; a view that reflects the realities of the streets of Iran today.

                  Meanwhile, the so-called reformists and their supporters outside Iran, who had received a severe blow on the night of the elections, saw their game of haggling within the system completely crushed and ruled out by the Supreme Leader. Completely dejected, their actions were limited to sending a few sarcastic messages here and there.

                  The people, on the other hand, did the undoable. The day after the Supreme Leader threatened the protesters with harsh consequences - namely bullets for those who dared to go out - they took to the streets by the hundreds of thousands, brushing aside the games of the two defeated candidates, and paid for it with their lives in order to change history.

                  Before the protest, the Moussavi camp was denying rumors of their participation in it, and instead went to the same authorities who had organized the coup, asking for an official permit for a rally.

                  To finish off the reformists, the Ahmadinejad-Khamenei gang had a new trick; they threatened the reformists with total elimination from the political scene, in order to have them step out of the arena voluntarily.

                  After Rafsanjani deviously thanked the Supreme Leader for his efforts, after the ridiculous show of ballot recount and result certification by the Guardian Council, and especially after their unsuccessful attempt that resulted in only recruiting 3 Ayatollahs to help their cause, the Association of the Combatant Clergy finally gave up and, in a statement to the people, called for calm, in order to salvage the game by getting back some of their detained members.

                  In a similar message, Moussavi called for calm and warned people not to be deceived by slogans targeting the fundamentals of the Regime, and to limit their demands for a redo of the elections. In an attempt to remain in the political scene, and to keep his positions in various political and cultural establishments, he even emphasized that this is a fight within the family, and outsiders that should not be allowed in.

                  Mehdi Karoubi, the other defeated candidate, also called for calm and asked people to return to their houses, but the “Sheikh of Reform”, as he is called, was naïve enough to blame himself for not listening to those intellectuals who had warned him about the futility of the elections and the will of the ruling faction to accept its results.
                  The people, however, came down to the streets on the 20th of June and selflessly fought the Basij, Revolutionary Guard, and all other security forces of the ruling regime. Along the way, they learned that what they can achieve on the street scenes could never be achieved with outdated political games.

                  Here are some of the most important characteristics of the June uprising:

                  1. The middle class, who has played a very important role in the protest and its organization, is one step from retreat, and one step to the revolution. The direction of its step will be determined by its success or defeat in bringing the more progressive parts of the bourgeoisie as well as the lower classes to its side.

                  Only if they silence all protest voices and successfully push the rival camp in the sidelines will Ahmadinejad and Khamenei’s lunatic curveball election results survive. Under these circumstances, any further dissent will trigger more lunatic plans on their part. This will, in turn, push the political tension beyond the brink in a society that is increasingly seeking its fate on the street scenes and not behind closed doors. By the time Khamenei has heard the voice of the revolution, even sacrificing some of his accomplices will not do him any good.

                  By taking the initiative into their own hands, and not allowing it to remain within the petty games of the two political factions, the people can disorient both factions and the regime’s repressive apparatus. This will unite their movement even further.

                  The repressive apparatus of the regime is dependant on human forces who break quickly under pressure. The continuation of the demonstrations, protest, strikes and all other new popular initiatives will break apart this machine regardless of its size and cruelty. After a while, we will witness the disobedience and desertion among their ranks. Unlike the people who are supporting each other, the police and the security forces of the regime are physically tired and emotionally consumed. Their motivation to confront people will diminish in time and the humane behavior of the brave young Iranians will accelerate their desertion.

                  The ruling faction took a risk that has put it in a lose-lose situation. If they can successfully suppress close to 40 million people, the movement will go underground. Sooner or later the generation who has experienced violent street protest and does not fear guns anymore will bring down the foundations of the regime. If, on the other hand, the large rallies and other forms of popular unrest go on and end up mobilizing all political classes, and finally a general strike happens, it will spell the speedy end of the regime.

                  The working classes will only enter the fight if they realize there is place for their radical demands in it. The upper classes will only directly confront the regime if they are assured if a speedy victory and are guaranteed of better economical and political interests. Therefore the middle class has no way but to remain in the streets.

                  the progressive and radical forces within the urban middle class has to chose between taking the leadership of the movement and its transition to a progressive revolution or like in 1979 wait for savior to take the lead. The 30 years of Khomeini has only brought about misery for people hence it will not be wise to wait for another savior to come along.

                  the progressive forces should draw a clear line between themselves and the all kinds of reactionary, religious or accidental dissidents. They should not allow the 1979 to repeat itself when the opportunistic clergy was preaching unity to defeat the shah but in the back room was plotting to eliminate all other forces.

                  Progressive forces must seriously spread information, deepen theoretical understanding and confront the pundits of both factions of the regime inside and outside Iran. They should use every opportunity to promote alternative ideas and put a leash on the common superficiality, lack of persistency, banality and constant need of a savior among the middle classes.

                  To my view the present uprising although radicalizing by day is still few steps away from becoming a revolution. The same distance it has from accepting the coup and going quiet for a while. The uprising has opened a new chapter in out fight for democracy and its transition to our final battle.
                  In his 18th Brumaire of Louis Bonapart, Marx argues that bourgeoisie tries to bring to its side every change and every force generating change. In the midst of chaotic and unplanned fights calling for calm, hero making and ??? has always been a reformist action plan.
                  Reformists by nature act always like the fifth wheel of car in a society that wants to move forward. Most of the times their absence is better than their presence.

                  The reality is that after 20th of June 2009 the time of hope in reform has come to an end.the only hope the fearful heads of the regime have now is the lack of revolutionary forces on the ground and the low level of public awareness which has been caused by years of repression and censorship. But the revolutionary conditions that we are witnessing are very innovative and resourceful. There is great possibility that an alternative will be born out the street battlegrounds and from inside the factories and universities. An alternative that could represent the progressive aspirations of people.

                  Many people believe we have entered a point of no return and those of us who are fighting the IR gunmen on the streets will open a new chapter in the Iranian history in a final battle.

                  iran

                  Comment

                  • Rasputin
                    Senior Member
                    • Jan 2005
                    • 63906

                    #504
                    Paris Bank Melli plastered

                    Green protesters stick slogans on window


                    iran

                    Comment

                    • Rasputin
                      Senior Member
                      • Jan 2005
                      • 63906

                      #505
                      More than 100 killed
                      Confirmed casualties of recent protests according to the reformist camp


                      iran

                      Comment

                      • Rasputin
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2005
                        • 63906

                        #506
                        Mohammad Reza Ali-Zamani
                        Sentenced to death following "confessions" at show trial

                        TEHRAN (Reuters) - An Iranian court has sentenced to death a man who took part in opposition protests over a disputed election in June, a reformist website reported on Thursday. Mowjcamp, which gave no source for the report, said Mohammad-Reza Ali-Zamani was informed of the verdict on Monday. It did not give details about the charges against him. Ali-Zamani was among more than 100 opposition supporters, including senior reformist figures, who were accused of fomenting post-election street unrest in a series of mass trials that got under way in August. A semi-official news agency, Mehr, said in August he was accused of fighting against the Islamic establishment and active membership of a "terrorist" monarchist association, and other crimes. There was no immediate comment from the authorities. There have been no other reports of death sentences issued against people involved in huge demonstrations that erupted after the poll, which the opposition says was rigged to secure the re-election of hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

                        iran

                        Comment

                        • Rasputin
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2005
                          • 63906

                          #507

                          iran

                          Comment

                          • Rasputin
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2005
                            • 63906

                            #508
                            Intellectuals & the Green Movement
                            Interview with New York University Political Science Proessor Ali Mirsepassi

                            In an interview with Hamid Dabashi, Mirsepassi discusses the role of Iranian intellectuals in the Green Movement and the roots of the movement in Iranian society.

                            http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WcbvE4NKD_k

                            iran

                            Comment

                            • siamak
                              Member
                              • Nov 2003
                              • 667

                              #509

                              Comment

                              • siamak
                                Member
                                • Nov 2003
                                • 667

                                #510

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